A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Dec 6, 2024

2 Ukraine Marines Defeat Russian Kursk Wave Attack As Strategic Calculus Shifts

Russia has largely abandoned armored assaults in Kursk oblast as their devastating losses to drones, mines and artillery have degraded both inventories and capabilities. So the Russians have again resorted to meat wave attacks with unprotected infantry. 

But the ability of two Ukrainian marines to defeat such an assault is less about David versus Goliath heroics (though there is that) and more realistically about Ukraine's effectively designed, layered defensive lines allowing small groups of skilled combatants to coordinate with drone, mechanized and artillery forces to apply maximum pressure at the point where it is most needed. This is a strategy the Russians appear unable or unwilling to learn. JL

Euromaidan Press reports
:

Faced with devastating losses of armored vehicles, Russian forces have resorted to mass infantry assaults. The shift from mechanized assaults to mass infantry attacks highlights the depletion of Russian armored capabilities but also a broader failure to adapt to Ukraine’s layered defenses and precision strikes. The stand of two Ukrainian soldiers against overwhelming odds, demonstrates Ukraine’s ability to leverage tactical setting and coordination to neutralize numerically superior forces. This suggests a growing disparity in the strategic calculus, where Russian forces are increasingly sacrificing manpower without meaningful gains, further weakening their capacity to sustain offensives.

Today there are significant updates from the Kursk direction. Faced with devastating losses of armored vehicles, Russian forces resorted to mass infantry assaults, relying on sheer numbers to breach Ukrainian defenses.

A screenshot from the Reporting from Ukraine video on YouTube.
A screenshot from the Reporting from Ukraine video on YouTube.

This shift in tactics led to a dramatic confrontation where two Ukrainian soldiers on a small strongpoint held their ground against an overwhelming force of 20 Russian troops in a fierce battle. The main Russian offensive near Tolstyi Lug follows the local highway. Aiming to bridge Ukrainian defenses in two directions: east toward Novoivanovka and south toward Nizhniy Klin.

This tactical shift comes after repeated failures to cross the Snagost river, where challenging terrain and fortified Ukrainian fire positions on the eastern bank have thwarted their advances. Now the Russian strategy focuses on bypassing the river from the north with concentrated frontal assaults designed to divide Ukrainian forces in the Kursk Oblast.

A screenshot from the Reporting from Ukraine video on YouTube.
A screenshot from the Reporting from Ukraine video on YouTube.

The Ukrainians have established formidable multi-layer defensive positions in the Oblast, utilizing extensively mined fields and repurposing abandoned Russian fortifications once used to secure the international border. In combination with the Snagost river to the south and Novoivanovka to the north, this creates a narrow corridor with limited space for the Russians to maneuver under strict Ukrainian fire control.

After suffering the destruction of multiple waves of armored vehicles and exhausting their reserves, the Russians were left with no choice but to revert to their notorious “meatwave” tactic, sending hundreds of soldiers to storm Ukrainian lines on foot. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW), citing Ukrainian officers in the Kursk direction, reported that Russian forces have largely abandoned the use of heavy equipment after suffering devastating losses from Ukrainian strikes. Instead, they now rely on infantry assaults, typically in small teams of three to five soldiers.

A screenshot from the Reporting from Ukraine video on YouTube.
A screenshot from the Reporting from Ukraine video on YouTube.

 

Frontline troops have corroborated this, describing the battles as highly active and intense, dominated by infantry engagements. Dramatic footage from the Tolstyi Lug area further illustrates the ferocity of these clashes. Drone operators of the 36th Marine Brigade of Ukraine released a geolocated video showcasing the heroism of their soldiers responsible for the defense of this sector and the high level of coordination between units on the ground and in the skies above.

The footage reveals a group of nearly ten Russian storm troopers infiltrating a Ukrainian trench while another similarly sized unit advances openly across the fields. Both groups were spotted simultaneously by a reconnaissance drone and two vigilant Ukrainian Marines. Acting with remarkable speed and precision, the Marines quickly took their firing positions, unleashing a fierce counterattack with small arms fire and grenades, effectively halting the enemy assault.

A screenshot from the Reporting from Ukraine video on YouTube.
A screenshot from the Reporting from Ukraine video on YouTube.

The Russians, under heavy fire, were forced to take cover in nearby bushes and return fire from their positions. Recognizing the dire situation faced by their two outnumbered comrades, Ukrainian drone operators acted swiftly, calling in artillery support. The first shell landed near the Russian positions, wounding several and forcing them to retreat.

Moments later, additional shells struck the trench where the initial Russian group had gathered, inflicting devastating casualties. The footage concludes with images of Russian storm troopers lying dead in the fields and trenches, stark evidence of another failed assault.

A screenshot from the Reporting from Ukraine video on YouTube.
A screenshot from the Reporting from Ukraine video on YouTube.

Overall, the shift from mechanized assaults to mass infantry attacks highlights not only the depletion of Russian armored capabilities but also reflects a broader failure to adapt effectively to Ukraine’s layered defenses and precision strikes.

The featured battle, epitomized by the heroic stand of two Ukrainian soldiers against overwhelming odds, demonstrates Ukraine’s ability to leverage tactical setting and coordination to neutralize numerically superior forces. These developments suggest a growing disparity in the strategic calculus, where Russian forces are increasingly sacrificing manpower without meaningful gains, further weakening their capacity to sustain prolonged offensives.

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