A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Nov 4, 2023

Russia Began "Meat Assaults" On Avdiivka After Losing 200 Armored Vehicles

Russia changed tactics either because it didnt want to lose any more armored vehicles - or because it didnt have any more to lose. JL 

Alya Shandra reports in Euromaidan Press:

Russia has “lost around 200 armored vehicles” over the past three weeks while assaulting the Donbas town of Avdiivka. The high losses rate is “likely due to a relative effectiveness of Ukraine’s modern hand-held anti-armor weapons, mines, uncrewed aerial vehicle-dropped munitions, and precision artillery systems.” Given these losses, “Russian forces switched to dismounted infantry-based assaults” which resulted in major casualties. "The Russians are attacking head-on without consideration for casualties."

Russia has faced heavy losses in its ongoing offensive on Avdiivka, a report by the UK intelligence states.

According to the report, Russia has “likely lost around 200 armored vehicles” over the past three weeks while assaulting the Donbas town of Avdiivka. The high losses rate is “likely due to a relative effectiveness of Ukraine’s modern hand-held anti-armor weapons, mines, uncrewed aerial vehicle-dropped munitions, and precision artillery systems.”

Avdiivka on a map. Map by ISW

Given these equipment losses, the report says “Russian forces have highly likely switched to conducting dismounted infantry-based assaults in this sector.” Just as Ukraine faced “similar tactical challenges” on the offensive this summer, Russia’s armored attacks on Avdiivka across open ground have resulted in major casualties.

The report estimates “Russia has suffered several thousand personnel casualties around the town since the start of October 2023.” Despite the losses, it concludes “Russia’s leadership continues to demonstrate a willingness to accept heavy personnel losses for marginal territorial gains.”

The “similar tactical challenges” that the UK Intelligence refers to are the infamous “meat grinder” assaults which have become a staple of Russian operations in Ukraine. It is thanks to expending the lives of thousands of convicts that the Wagner group was after eight months of fighting finally able to seize east Ukraine’s Bakhmut.

Ukrainian commander Serhii Filimonov told in September that the Russians are unchanged in their tactics of attacking head-on without consideration for casualties, employing toxic gases disseminated from drones, improving their reconnaissance abilities, and acquiring many kamikaze drones.  As well, Russia continues to send poorly trained prisoners for the assaults near Kupiansk in Ukraine’s Kharkiv Oblast, just as it did in the battle for Bakhmut during August 2022-May 2023.


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