in one of the most highly anticipated initial public offerings of the
last decade.
Leading up to the IPO, which valued the company at a whopping $104 billion —
or 100 times earnings — the hype was intense. Facebook, market prognosticators
predicted, would soar in the first day of trading, generating easy gains for the
investors who rushed for a piece of the action. Indeed, investor demand was so
intense that Facebook boosted by 25% the amount of shares it planned to sell to
the public.
Technical glitches on the NASDAQ exchange delayed the first trades for 30
hair-raising, white-knuckled minutes. After the NASDAQ commenced trading,
Facebook shares jumped 13% to hit $43, only to retreat quickly to the initial
offering price of $38. At that point, Facebook’s IPO underwriters, including the
largest banks on
Wall Street
led by Morgan Stanley, stepped in and waged a furious buying battle to support
the offering level. Thanks to their efforts, Facebook closed a frenetic first
day of trading at $38.23, essentially flat.
Although Facebook shares slowly climbed back above $30 by January of this
year, momentum stalled and Facebook shares are currently bouncing around $26 per
share, down more than 30% since the IPO. For Facebook, the IPO was a major
success because it raised over $10 billion for the company. But for investors,
Facebook’s IPO is widely considered to be one of the most disappointing public
stock offerings in U.S. history.
One year ago, TIME
published an
article examining the kind of revenue opportunities Facebook might seize upon to
justify its sky-high valuation. Looking back at the list, many of those
opportunities remain untapped. The company has only scratched the surface, for
example, when it comes to leveraging the vast hoard of user data it is
accumulating. A true Facebook phone hasn’t materialized, nor has a credit
card-based E-commerce “passport.” And though Facebook recently announced a
“semantic” search engine, it shows no signs of threatening Web search titan
Google’s dominance.
But there have also been some notable successes. Facebook’s mobile efforts,
in particular, are starting to
achieve impressive
results. Last quarter, 30% of Facebook’s ad revenue came from mobile devices, up
from 23% during the previous quarter and 14% the quarter before that. In the
first quarter of 2012, Facebook’s mobile revenue constituted 0% of its total
revenue. Perhaps most important, Facebook’s share of mobile time spent online is
soaring, offsetting desktop declines. Facebook’s share of mobile minutes has
doubled from 11% to 22% over the last year, according to JP Morgan. The company
has also begun packing more ads into the News Feed.
A year ago, we also asked if Facebook could possibly maintain its “cool
factor” in the long term. The answer is that it might not matter: Although there
are signs that younger users are increasingly flocking to other social services,
Facebook remains far and away the top social network on the web. Overall, in
fact, Facebook seems to be maturing into a reliably profitable public company,
even if its share price remains more than 30% below the IPO level.
The ill-effects of that IPO, however, still represent a lingering cloud
hanging over the company. In the immediate aftermath of the offering,
recriminations flew fast and furious. NASDAQ CEO Robert Greifeld told a
conference of corporate directors at Stanford University’s Law School that
“arrogance” and “overconfidence” among NASDAQ officials were partly to blame for
the technical breakdowns that plagued the offering. Simply put, the NASDAQ’s
systems, which had been repeatedly tested before the offering, couldn’t handle
the massive volume of trading. NASDAQ’s breakdown may have spooked investors,
causing many to sell, driving the stock price down, as Facebook suggested in a
legal filing last year.
Irate investors filed dozens of lawsuits against Facebook, its underwriters,
and the NASDAQ. One set of suits alleged that Facebook’s IPO documents “were
negligently prepared and failed to disclose material information about
Facebook’s business, operations and prospects.” Specifically, the lawsuits
charged that Facebook hid the financial impact of challenges to its mobile
advertising business — challenges that would have been material information for
prospective Facebook investors.
Another set of Facebook lawsuits charged that company executives gave the
underwriters more detail about the financial impact of challenges to its mobile
advertising business than they did to the investing public. The underwriters, in
turn, lowered their financial forecasts, which they then “selectively disclosed”
to big, favored clients like hedge funds and institutional investors, but not
the public, according to the lawsuits.
Predictably, Facebook maintained that it acted appropriately, by updating its
IPO documents with the SEC before the offering to reflect that the number of
daily users was increasing faster than the number of ads the company was
serving, a change it attributed to its fast-growing mobile user
base. (Facebook’s SEC update was delivered in dense, financial legalese, but may
in fact have satisfied the disclosure requirements.)
Thirty-one of the lawsuits have now been consolidated into one umbrella case
before a judge in the Southern District of New York. Earlier this month,
Facebook
asked
a judge to throw out the umbrella lawsuit, arguing that it had no obligation to
disclose internal data on how increased mobile usage might affect the company’s
financial performance. But Facebook’s legal headaches continue. Less than two
weeks ago, the company was
hit
by a new IPO-related lawsuit seeking to hold Zuckerberg and other executives
responsible for the botched offering.
Given the immense financial windfall the IPO delivered to Facebook insiders,
it’s not hard to understand why ordinary investors were upset. Zuckerberg cashed
out to the tune of $1.14 billion. Early investors Accel Partners, DST Global,
Mail.ru Group and Tiger Global generated $2.1 billion, $1.7 billion, $745
million, and $722 million, respectively. Tech mogul Peter Thiel sold $638
million worth of shares. And Wall Street titan Goldman Sachs cashed out to the
tune of $923 million.
Of course, venture capitalists and early employees took big risks, and
deserve to be rewarded. But the contrasting fortunes of company insiders, who
made billions, and ordinary shareholders, who saw their Facebook investments
fall off a cliff, raised basic questions about the fairness of the IPO process.
Facebook’s IPO reinforced the stereotype that the IPO process gives
deep-pocketed investors and well-connected insiders an advantage over everyday
investors.
Facebook is making good progress on several fronts, especially mobile, but
the company needs to boost earnings growth significantly if it wants to see its
stock price return to its IPO level. Right now, the market just doesn’t see that
happening. “Facebook’s share price is telling you that investors are more
skeptical about the company’s prospects than a year ago,” Wedbush analyst
Michael Pachter
told
MarketWatch. Another thing investors are likely skeptical about? The IPO process
itself. As the old adage goes: “Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame
on me.”
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