Russia Loses Ground For 1st Time In Years As Ukraine Drones Strike Units Harder

Russia's winter offensive never got off the ground. It's spring summer offensive is generously referred to as 'sputtering.' Generous, because in a growing number of sectors, the Russians are actually losing territory. 

The reasons vary by region, but Russia's chronic supply and reinforcement issues have been exacerbated by increasingly accurate and lethal short, medium and long range drone strikes which have systematically reduced the ability of the Kremlin's formations to actually organize and launch attacks before they are spotted and destroyed by the Ukrainians. JL

David Axe reports in Trench Art:

Russia's sputtering offensive suffered losses of territory for two straight months: a loss of 67 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory in April after losing 31 kms in March. Ukraine's drones are striking harder and more often across occupied Ukraine and even deep into Russia and it's spring offensive is already faltering. Russian forces still enjoy a manpower and firepower advantage. But Ukraine's intensifying heavy drone strikes are fraying Russian logistics and chipping away at Russian regiments' combat power before they even begin their attacks. Those strikes are eroding the Russians' fighting strength. “We are methodically destroying the key elements of the enemy’s military infrastructure,"

Big Tech Is Trading Its Workforce For AI. They May Regret That Exchange

As layoffs in the tech sector grow - and Big Tech firms attempt to claim it is because of increased efficiency and productivity from AI, those claims are being met with some skepticism. 

Firstly, because questions about how to optimize AI's impact have not been convincingly demonstrated by many if not most organizations, and secondly because many of the layoffs appear driven more by financial and executive compensation effects than by actual AI impact. But a third consideration is that employees enhance the ability of businesses to deploy AI effectively so that getting rid of too many of them too soon could negatively affect optimization. Feeding the narrative that AI is a convenient excuse to lay off human employees may also contribute to the increasing public narrative that AI is not likely to positively affect anyone other than a relatively few tech executives and investors. JL

Dan Gallagher and Asa Fitch report in the Wall Street Journal:

Tech companies are rushing to trade their people for more chips. Some of them might regret the exchange. Dressing up layoffs as visionary moves for the age of AI carries risks. Rampant layoffs hurt morale and create an exit incentive for other employees, especially talented ones with alternatives. For all of AI’s capabilities, people will be needed to figure out business models, deal with customers and make sure AI tools are being deployed and used safely. Smart castaways might establish startups that end up competing with the big tech companies. The layoffs also lend credence to a growing public perception that AI isn’t a panacea but a job killer. That will feed a backlash already constraining AI, as more communities fight against the construction of massive data centers.

Ukraine Took Russia's Best Punch. Now It's Hitting Back. Harder

As the weather warms, Ukraine's military and civilians have, this winter and spring, absorbed the worst Russia could throw at them and have not just survived, but emerged stronger. 

The barbaric attacks on energy and electricity infrastructure in the dead of an historically cold winter did not lead to calls for negotiation. And rather than waiting for another set of Russian offensives, the Ukrainians took the initiative and launched counterattacks which have resulted in Russian forces losing territory. The war is not expected to end soon, but the global narrative about Russia's failure has become the norm and the supposed 'inevitability' of a Russian win is now considered a cruel joke - mostly on the hapless Russian troops who are dying as a result of it. JL

David Ignatius reports in the Washington Post:

At the Kyiv Security Forum last week European defense chiefs shared the assessment that, as one put it, “the Ukrainians have outpaced Russia in spite of being outgunned.” Ukraine currently neutralizes 70% of Russia’s drone attacks and hopes to boost that kill rate to more than 90% by the end of this year. Ukraine maintains its edge with monthly updates of its drone and electronic warfare systems. Drones account for 92% of kills, while just 3% come from artillery. Ukrainian troops held firm against Russia’s assault on the front lines last fall, and its cities survived a terrible, frigid winter despite a Russian blitz on infrastructure. Now spring has arrived: It’s warm again, and the power is still on. Ukraine has taken Russia’s heavy punch without buckling.

Moscow May 9 Parade To Have No Armored Vehicles, Few Troops Due To Losses, Fear Of Ukraine Drone Strike

For the first time in twenty years, Moscow's annual Victory Day parade, which celebrates Russia's part in the defeat of Nazi Germany, will not feature any armored vehicles. 

The reason, according to the Russian Defense Ministry, is 'the current operational situational,' which is a bureaucratic euphemism for devastating losses of such equipment in Ukraine as well as fear that the Ukrainians could embarrass Putin by launching drone attacks on the parade that the Russians might not be able to prevent, given Ukraine's decimation of Russian air defenses. JL

NBC News reports:

Russia's traditional parade marking the 81st anniversary of the defeat of Nazi Germany in World War II this year will take place without tanks, missiles and other military equipment, the Russian Defense Ministry said. It will be the first time in two decades — and in the more than four years of Russia’s war in Ukraine — that no military equipment will rumble through Moscow’s Red Square on May 9, the day Russia celebrates its most important holiday. The ministry statement this week cited the “current operational situation” as a reason for excluding a military equipment convoy, as well as cadets, from the parade.

Ukraine Doubles Ground Drones To Increase Use For Assault, Defense, Supply

Ukrainian forces are doubling the number of ground drones they will deploy this year to 25,000.

Their intent is to replace as many as 30% of human infantry with the drones and to have all logistics tasks near the front carried out by the ground drones, which can transport approximately 200 kilos vs 20 kilos for a human. As these drones become more sophisticated, they are also being used for a growing number of combat tasks, including defending positions and attacking Russian strongpoints. JL

Alex Croft reports in The Independent and Katie Livingstone reports in Defense News:

Ukraine will (deploy) 25,000 unmanned ground vehicles in the first half of 2026, more than double the 2025 total, to shift all frontline logistics off soldiers and onto robots. Ukraine’s 3rd Assault Brigade wants to replace 30% of its infantry with UGVs to cut down on troop losses on the (Donbas) front. They deliver supplies, evacuate wounded troops, hold territorial positions, destroy enemy defenses, carry out sabotage missions and lay mines. The unit has carried out more than 100 strike operations using UGVs in the past few months. “During these missions, we’ve destroyed enemy troops, shelters, command posts, and other high-value targets. This is daily, systematic combat work.” 

What Russia's Captured Soldiers Reveal About Its Failing War

As Russia's winter and then spring-summer offensives have faltered this year, Ukrainian forces are finding that there has been something of a change in the composition of the Russian troops they are capturing. Long gone are the professional soldiers who tried to take Kyiv four years ago. And  the convicts offered a second chance have largely disappeared. Even the opportunists who signed financially beneficial contracts are declining.

The latest batches are often men who have been coerced because they could not pay debts or faced trumped-up legal charges, suggesting that these troops are ever more desperate. But one thing has not changed: they all realize that, in their own words. they are being sent to be slaughtered. JL

Josh Olley reports in United 24:

In the first three months of 2026, 89,000 Russian troops were killed or seriously wounded. The Kremlin has increasingly relied on contract soldiers rather than conscription, now recruiting 400,000 contract troops annually, 70-80% of its deployed forces. Only one of five POWs interviewed said he had been formally mobilized. The others were either detained on minor drug charges and given a choice between long prison sentences or the front line, or were burdened by significant debt. A common factor linking every prisoner interviewed was that Russian troops openly speak of being sent “to be slaughtered.”

"Welcome To the Stone Age:" Ukraine Extends Drone Kill Zone Into Russia

Ukraine's drone kill zone was originally intended to cover a few kilometers on either side of the front 'zero' line. Everything in that area was a target. When the front line, as such, became more of a gray zone because in many sectors neither side had firm control in the historical sense, the kill zone extended to 20 kilometers into the rear, though that has now increased with the introduction of more powerful drones to 50km. 

But the latest extension announced by Ukraine now moves in Russia itself. And as recent attacks on logistics, command and control headquarters, as well anything that moves suggests, the Ukrainians are making good on their threats. Ukraine's drone commander is a former grain trader who understands the power of setting quantitative objectives. He started by announcing that the Ukrainians would kill or severely wound 35,000 Russian soldiers a month - which they have now done for four months in a row, with a goal of increasing that number to 50,000, far more than the Kremlin could replace. He has now said that his intent is to bomb Russia back to the stone age (though some informed observers believe much of the country never left it...). And he appears to be beginning to make good on that promise, as well. JL

Yuri Zoria reports in Euromaidan Press:

Ukraine's Drone Forces struck Russian locomotives, communications, ammunition depots, drone landing sites, and logistics hubs in occupied Donetsk, Luhansk, and Zaporizhzhia oblasts between 23 and 25 April as it expands the kill zone, scaling up depth in occupied areas. The SBS established its Deep Strike Center earlier this year to coordinate long-range drone ops against high-priority Russian targets. It has accelerated the tempo of strikes, hitting Iskander missile bases, air defenses, and the elite Russian drone unit Rubikon's facilities. Ukraine's drone forces have hit 240 targets across Russia and occupied territories in the first 48 days of 2026 alone, including 26 Russian air defenses. "Welcome to the stone age," Ukraine's "Madyar" Brovdi told Russian troops in occupied territories as rail logistics will become "dog sleds," and warehouses and fuel depots will retreat "beyond the Urals."