A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Mar 20, 2026

Ukraine Drone Startup "Swarmer" Has Hottest IPO Of Year, Up 700% On Ist Day

Swarmer's technology allows one operator to control hundreds of drones at the same time. It has been successfully deployed in combat by the Ukrainian military. 

The market responded enthusiastically, with the IPO's stock rising 700% in its first day of trading. And part of the secret to that success is that Swarmer, founded in Ukraine, moved operations to the US - with Ukrainian government permission - in order to gain access to US capital markets which will enable significant expansion. JL

Aidan Stretch reports in CBS News:

A Ukrainian drone startup saw the most explosive U.S. stock market debut of the last year during its first day trading on Nasdaq. Shares in Swarmer, whose software enables single pilots to control hundreds of drones at once, soared 700% Tuesday. Ukrainian companies often lack financing needed to expand operations. Controls on exporting Ukrainian defense tech limits access to capital. Ukraine's defense industry reached production capacity of $35 billion in 2025 but received only $6.1 billion in foreign funding. Incorporating businesses in the U.S. and bringing in partners with ties to the US defense industry could offer solutions. "Swarmer has been deployed in Ukraine with more than 100,000 real-world missions in combat, informing the software and machine-learning models that feed into it."

At Pokrovsk, Ukraine Wipes Out 120 Russian Troops, Drones Destroy Rocket Battery

Russia's spring offensive launched in the Pokrovsk sector with the same lack of success as it did in Zaporizhzhia: an attacking Russian infantry company was annihilated and an entire battery of Grad rocket launchers was destroyed. 

Following the losses suffered in their failed winter offensive, the Kremlin appears to be wholly unprepared for the spring in every sector where they have attempted to attack so far. JL

Valentyna Romanenko reports in Ukraine Pravda and Ivan Khomenko reports in United24:

The Russian command deployed significant forces to the latest assault on the Pokrovsk front. The Russians were counting on taking advantage of rainy weather (but) in 48 hours the 3rd Ukrainian Spartan Brigade stopped the offensive and destroyed a company-sized force of 120 Russian troops. (At the same time) Ukrainian drone operators destroyed a full battery of Russian BM-21 Grad multiple launch rocket systems on the Pokrovsk axis, in a coordinated strike involving multiple units. On March 19, the operation was carried out in coordination with drone and reconnaissance elements. Six Grad systems— a full battery—were eliminated during the strike.

Ukraine Paratroops Test Exoskeletons To Assist Speed, Load Lifts

In yet another example of how technology is transforming war fighting, Ukrainian paratroopers are testing exoskeletons at the front in the Pokrovsk sector.

Early reports indicate that the exoskeletons can reduce physical strain as much as 30% by reducing the impact of carrying heavy loads and enhancing movement. The tests suggest that troops work faster and are less fatigued. While this may be evident for artillerymen carrying heavy shells, it may also assist infantry who have to run suddenly and quickly to avoid danger or spring surprise on the enemy. JL

Vlad Litnarovych reports in United24:

Ukrainian air assault troops have begun testing exoskeleton technology on the front lines, deploying early models with units operating in the Pokrovsk sector. Trial systems have been distributed and are being evaluated in both logistics and active combat. Exoskeletons are designed to reduce physical strain on soldiers by up by up to 30%, while allowing assisted movement speeds of up to 20 km/h at a range of 17 kilometers. Artillery crews, in particular, are expected to benefit from the technology as they handle extreme physical workloads transporting heavy ammunition. “Every day, they endure significant physical strain. They carry 15–30 shells daily, each weighing 50 kilograms. Based on the test results, they get less fatigued, work faster, and maintain combat effectiveness for longer.”

Russia's Spring Offensive Launched March 17 Results in Slaughter, Zero Gains

Do the Russians just refuse to learn? They are supposedly global masters at chess but they are conducting this war like infants who struggle at checkers. 

Having already seen their winter offensive defeated so soundly that the Ukrainians were able to score significant advances, the Russians then launched their highly anticipated spring offensive exactly where and when it was expected. The Ukrainians were waiting in ambush with drones and artillery. In the ensuing slaughter a new record was set for the number of Russian casualties in one day. And the Russians have exactly zero gains to show for the death and destruction inflicted upon them. JL

Yuri Zoria reports in Euromaidan Press:

Russian forces launched multi-sector assaults along the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia fronts on 17–18 March, suffering heavy casualties without advancing. Russian forces had waited through early March for fog to resume attacks. Pre-infiltrated groups, activated before midnight 17 March under drizzle and mist, ran into a drone ambush which killed more than 100 of them before midnight. At dawn, Russia escalated. Infantry, motorcycles, armored vehicles, and horses pushed at Ukrainian positions across "a dozen sections" of the front. By the end of the day drone units killed 292 Russians and wounded 221 others. By noon on 18 March, another 277 Russian troops added to the 36-hour total, reaching 900, "somewhat of a new mark." (But) Russian forces failed to break through at any point along the entire Rodynske–Huliaipole line.

Why Generative AI Is Becoming A Commodity

First mover advantage, as history has taught so many entrepreneurs the hard way, is only rarely a competitive advantage. Too often, a fast follower learns from predecessors' mistakes and surpasses them. 

That has not yet happened to OpenAI, but something even more challenging has: AI is becoming a commodity, as many models are known for a limited set of things they can do better than others, but which will probably soon become - if not irrelevant - than less important as better next AI generations emerge. Differentiation does not appear definitive and switching costs are low. The power may have already passed to gatekeepers like Apple's App Store or to the providers of essential components like Nvidia or even to electric utilities. Which means that AI may end up becoming like the telephone or PC or autos: essential, but a built-in and not necessarily commanding a premium. JL

Ian Bogost reports in The Atlantic:

Tech believes the gospel of disruptive innovation. But the first mover is likely to fail or fall out of favor. A year ago, OpenAI’s ChatGPT was the Coke or Kleenex of gen-AI chatbots. Today, its competitors, especially Anthropic’s Claude, are advancing quickly. But if ChatGPT becomes outmoded, its (because) the gen-AI sector has become a commodity, like soft drinks or facial tissues. That process has begun. Big AI companies’ models have reached parity. And switching costs are fairly low. Consumer and business users understand what AI is, what it can do, and they have moved on to figure out how to use it.  Which AI they use has become less important. AI could become, in a few years, as invisible and anonymous as power or plumbing. Nobody cares what company makes the lights work or the toilets flush, so long as they do.

Mar 19, 2026

Russian Zaporizhzhia Spring Assault Units Encircled, Many Losses, PoWs

Early reports indicated that Russia's spring offensive is off to a particularly poor start in the Zaporizhzhia sector, where they are being destroyed by Ukrainian drones, artillery and infantry who anticipated their assault. 

Losses, including many POWs, are revealed to be heavy - and this is just in the first day and a half, when they would ordinarily be expected to be performing optimally. Instead, they are foundering. JL
 
The Kyiv Post reports:

Ukrainian forces continue to conduct sweep operations in the Zaporizhzhia sector, clearing positions and capturing Russian servicemen during close-quarters fighting. Russia's spring offensive stretched from Rodynske to Hulyaipole, beginning March 16 with small assault groups. Ukrainian forces responded, inflicting heavy losses.“900 in a day and a half is a new record. They did not take a single area on this section.”  On March 17, Russia renewed attacks using infantry, motorcycles, armored vehicles, and even horses. Groups of Russian infantry had entrenched themselves in residential buildings, until Ukrainian forces forced them out of their positions. “The Russians were unable to advance. They cannot break through anywhere – we are burning their equipment.”

2 Ukraine Soldiers Hold Kramatorsk Dugout For 1 Year; Are Finally Relieved

The soldiers were originally assigned to hold a position overlooking a crucial road leading to Sloviansk. Eventually, they were surrounded. They burrowed in avoid artillery and drones, then held on with help from nearby units. 

Finally, they were evacuated, as Ukraine's winter advances relieved pressure on that sector of the front. People like this are not going to give up. JL

Taras Safronov reports in Militarnyi:

Two Ukrainian soldiers of the 30th Mechanized Brigade held their position for a year until recently evacuated by troops of the 425th Skelya Assault Regiment. Their task was to hold their position and secure a highway to prevent Russian forces from advancing toward Slovyansk. “We were mostly underground. We dug in so that heavy artillery would not reach us." A Skelya reconnaissance unit moved behind enemy lines, reached the soldiers, and extracted them from encirclement. The operation lasted three days and ended successfully.