A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Jul 19, 2026

Wildberries Warehouses "Russia's Amazon," Destroyed By Ukrainian Drone Strikes

Wildberries is a Russian company which is that country's equivalent of Amazon. It increasingly supplies consumer needs. And, as it turns out, is a source of sanctioned electronic and operational components for the Russian military. 

As a result, a number of its warehouses were struck by Ukrainian drones, destroying them and killing a number of workers. The lesson meant for Russian citizens is that as long as the Kremlin insists on continuing to attack Ukrainian cities, Russians will not be immune from similar hits, with all of the danger and loss implied. It is worth noting that Wildberries is refusing to compensate third party vendors and customers whose merchandise was lost or damaged in the drone strikes, which will further exacerbate the impact. JL

Novaya Gazeta reports:
Ukraine launched a massive attack on Russian regions overnight, targeting an oil depot and warehouses owned by Russia’s biggest online retailer Wildberries. The assault killed at least eight people and injured dozens more. At least seven warehouse workers on the night shift were killed when a drone struck a Wildberries warehouse in the Tambov region, in central Russia. Wildberries warehouses were used to ensure the supply of sanctioned components for the production of drones and navigation equipment. Wildberries CEO Tatyana Kim expressed her condolences to the victims of the attack and pledged her support. (But) this does not include financial compensation for sellers, whose products were destroyed in the attack — Wildberries had previously refused any liability.

50,000 Russian Troops Eliminated By One Drone Unit In 1st Six Months 2026

The drone operators of one Ukrainian unit, the Alpha special operations group of Ukraine's security services, reportedly eliminated over 50,000 Russian troops in the first half of 2026 and is continuing to do so at that extraordinary rate. 

The implication is that Russian casualties - and their deleterious impact on Russian performance - can be expected to grow for the rest of the year JL

Svitlana Shcherbak reports in Defense Express:

Ukrainian Security Service's Alpha Special Operations unit neutralized more than

50,000 russian troops during the first half of 2026, with nearly 1,300 additional casualties inflicted over the past week alone. The unit neutralized more than 5,500 Russian troops in June 2026. Alpha operators conducted both long-range precision strikes against russian military targets and daily operations 

Jul 18, 2026

Russian Military On Crimea Suffers Severe Fuel Shortages, Rationing

When the Kremlin's own army can no longer move because Ukrainian drones are systematically dismantling Russia's energy infrastructure, serious questions have to be asked about that country's ability to continue fighting a war in the modern era. JL

Ukrinform reports:
Russian occupation forces have imposed strict fuel rationing for mobile fire groups and air defense units deployed in temporarily occupied Kherson region and Crimea, including those tasked with protecting Russian positions from Ukrainian drones. These conditions have been observed in several Russian units, including the 1096th Anti-Aircraft Missile Regiment of the 22nd Army Corps and mobile fire groups operating along the R-280 highway near Chonhar in occupied Crimea, as well as air defense and drone units of Russia's 49th Combined Arms Army in the occupied Kherson region.

50 Russian Tanks, Vehicles Destroyed By Ukraine At Kostiantynivka

The interesting question is not how the tanks and other vehicles were destroyed. We know that: Ukrainian drones. 

No, the real question is why, at this point in the war, Russian commanders would waste (yet again...) so many troops and so much equipment for what would obviously, at this point in the war, such a futile effort. Maybe it was just some frustrated general, under pressure from the Kremlin, ordering someone to do something. And some people continue to wonder why the Russians are not winning, let alone increasingly losing. JL

Euromaidan Press reports:
Despite  Russian commanders concluding that vehicles are too easy for Ukraine's tiny first-person-view drones to find and strike, and despite a reported ban on Russian vehicular traffic on eastern Ukraine's Donetsk Ring Road, the Russian Center Group of Forces massed no fewer than 50 vehicles 12 km south of the gray zone stretching between Kostiantynivka and Toretske in Donetsk. The outcome was predictable. Drones from the Ukrainian State Security Service's Ivan Franko Group detected and attacked the column of trucks, vans, cars, all-terrain vehicles, and motorcycles just south of the ring road near the village of Malynivka, an important base for Russian forces fighting in Donetsk Oblast. When the smoke and dust cleared, more than 50 vehicles had been hit and immobilized if not destroyed.

Jul 17, 2026

51 Ukraine Private Air Defense Units Have Shot Down 50 Russian Drones So Far

Since inviting private companies to establish their own air defense units, 51 companies have been approved so far and those units have shot down approximately 50 Russian drones. JL

Militarnyi reports:
Fifty-one companies have already joined a pilot project to deploy a private air defense system. All of these companies have been granted authorization to carry out air defense operations. They have already shot down more than 50 drones, including Shahed-type attack drones and Zala reconnaissance UAVs. In total, 62 companies of various ownership structures, representing different economic sectors and regions of Ukraine, have submitted applications to participate in the program.

In the Ukraine War's Endgame, Russian Attrition Rate Is 19 Times A Year Earlier

Russian forces are not only losing ground, people and equipment, they are doing so at a much faster rate than previously. The implication is that things are getting worse for Putin's war effort - and that there is no sign thy can or will get better. 

But even fears of escalation by a 'wounded animal,' such as Putin is frequently considered, are not dire as NATO is well aware of the threat and much better prepared for it than they ever have been. The result is that Russia's options have diminished and are expected to remain so. JL

Serge Schmemann reports in the New York Times:

Russia is still clawing away at Ukrainian territory, but at a snail’s pace and extraordinary cost. Ukraine says it inflicted almost 40,000 Russian dead and wounded in June, or about 1,300 casualties per square kilometer “seized or infiltrated,” an attrition rate 19 times what it was a year earlier. “Ukrainian forces are becoming increasingly effective at simultaneously slowing Russian advances and inflicting heavier losses.” Following the old precept of “shoot the archer, not the arrow,” Ukraine has been increasingly targeting military-industrial facilities deep in Russia with considerable effect, as evidenced by Russia’s recent ban on the export of diesel fuel. Mr. Putin's time is fast running out. 

Every Boom Has A Clock. AI May Already Be Approaching Saturation

An analyiis of recent technological revolutions reveals that they have a now predictable path in terms of uptake and length of impact before the boom excitement leads to casual acceptance as the norm.

What's different about AI is that it is moving two to three times faster than its predecessors. While that may or may not mean enhanced impact (it may just reflect the fact that in a technologically dominant socio-economic system, people adopt faster), it may mean that saturation and adaptation are happening at a much quicker rate. This, in turn, may mean that the most dramatic effects may have already been embraced and implemented so that future adjustments could be less impactful. Which may also be the reason why investors markets are pulling back and becoming more cautious about its future. JL

Aashray Iyer reports in Bootcamp:
Every tech revolution stops being a revolution and becomes...wallpaper. The internet got so woven into everything we stopped noticing. You just live there. The Mainframe Era (1950s–60s) gave us programming and software. The PC Revolution (1970s–80s) put a computer in your home. Dot-com peaked, crashed, and then became (life). The Mobile/App Store era (2007–2015) was social media, on-demand food. Every boom. About a decade. AI is moving 2 to 3x faster than any of these. The speed of AI’s evolution means we’ll soon be past the peak. The big, jaw-dropping leaps are largely done. What’s left is refinement. Lights turn on when you flip the switch. That’s where AI is going. The “AI-powered” badge will disappear because it would be like “electricity-powered.” AI's next wave will get out of the way and make you feel more capable: technology made for humans. The AI era will end the way the best eras end: by becoming so normal no one calls it an era anymore.