Russia's Capability Constraints Reduce Its Ability To Make Operational Gains

Russia's 'capability constraints' driven by significant losses of men and materiel are limiting their ability to exploit limited tactical gains. 

Ukraine's Kursk offensive combined with the horrific losses Russia is suffering on the Pokrovsk front have pushed daily casualty counts above 1,000 a day, where they are expected to remain for the rest of September. Unlike previous years, this degradation is proving harder for the Russians to make up. JL

Sofiia Syngaivska reports in Defense Express:

Although Russian pressure on the frontline will continue over the next month, their capability constraints will continue to reduce their ability to exploit tactical successes into wider operational gains. Russia’s casualty rate will likely continue to average above 1,000 a day throughout September 2024. Average daily Russian casualties (killed and wounded) in Ukraine has increased in August 2024 to 1187 per day,  due to Ukraine’s Kursk operation and continued pressure on the Pokrovsk axis as Russia continues to rely on mass to mitigate their lack of personnel and equipment capability.

The average daily russian casualties (killed and wounded) in Ukraine has increased in August 2024 to 1187 per day, according to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reporting. Since the start of the full-scale invasion russia has likely suffered over 610,000 casualties., the UK Defense Intelligence reports.

The August 2024 increase in casualty rate is almost certainly due to Ukraine’s Kursk operation and continued pressure on the Pokrovsk axis. Russia continues to rely on mass to mitigate their lack of personnel and equipment capability.

 

Illustrative image / Photo credit: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

Although russian pressure on the whole frontline will continue over the next month, their capability constraints will likely continue to reduce their ability to exploit any tactical successes into wider operational gains. Russia’s casualty rate will likely continue to average above 1,000 a day throughout September 2024 as russia continues operations on a wide front from Kursk in the north to Robotyne in the south.