A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Sep 7, 2024

Estonian Intel: Despite Increased Russian Attacks, "No Significant Progress Made"

Despite an increase in the number and tempo of attacks by Russian forces across the Ukrainian front line, they have made no significant progress in recent days, according to Estonian intelligence, which is widely perceived to produce accurate and credible reporting on the fighting in Ukraine.

The thwarting of Russian attacks appears to be due primarily to increased Ukrainian resistance, particularly around Pokrovsk, and to shortages of men and materiel increasingly suffered by the Russians. JL

Oleh Pavliuk reports in Ukraine Pravda
:

Despite increasing the number of daily attacks on Ukrainian positions, Russia has not achieved significant progress on the battlefield. In July and August, Russia conducted 140 to 160 attacks per day, and at the beginning of September, this number reached 190. At the same time, there have been no significant changes on the front line in Ukraine over the past week. "The Ukrainians have slowed down the Russian advance on the Pokrovsk front. While in previous months, the Russians advanced seven to eight kilometres per month on this front, in recent days, the pace of their advance has significantly slowed," 

Colonel Ants Kiviselg, Head of the Military Intelligence Centre of Estonia, states that despite increasing the number of daily attacks on Ukrainian positions, Russia has not managed to achieve significant progress on the battlefield.

Source: European Pravda, citing ERR

Details: At the weekly press conference of the Estonian Defence Ministry, Kiviselg noted that in July and August, Russia conducted 140 to 160 attacks per day, and at the beginning of September, this number reached 190. 

He said the Russian Armed Forces continue to maintain the initiative at the operational level, with their primary offensive focus still directed at Donetsk Oblast, particularly the city of Pokrovsk.

At the same time, there have been no significant changes on the front line in Ukraine over the past week, the colonel emphasised. 

Quote: "The Ukrainians have managed to slow down the Russian advance on the Pokrovsk front. While in previous months, the Russians advanced seven to eight kilometres per month on this front, we now see that in recent days, the pace of their advance has significantly slowed," Kiviselg noted.

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He added that Ukraine has also deployed additional units to the Pokrovsk front. 

Furthermore, the Head of the Military Intelligence Centre of Estonia pointed to an increase in air attacks on Ukraine's infrastructure, specifically mentioning strikes on a military academy and a hospital in Poltava earlier this week.

If Russia intends to pressure Ukrainian society and weaken its resistance with such attacks on civilian infrastructure, Kiviselg assesses that Moscow has not succeeded. 

Quote: "At this point, I can say that the Russian Federation has not achieved this goal – as a result of these attacks, the will to defend among Ukrainians remains strong and continues to grow. These attacks also keep the support for Ukraine from its allies high," he pointed out.

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