A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Dec 20, 2023

Russian Infantry Forced To Walk As Ukraine Targeting Hits Troops On Vehicles

It's bad enough for Russian commanders to see their forces wiped out as they attack. It's even worse to watch them get annihilated just trying to get from rear areas into position to attack. 

Ukrainian targeting with drones of Russian vehicles has become so precise that Russian troops are being ordered to walk from rear areas to the point of attack - where they are then, again, ordered to attack on foot so as to try to deny Ukraine the satisfaction of destroying vehicles and the troops riding on them. Physical exhaustion, especially among troops in their 30s and 40s may partially explain the failure of so many Russian assaults. JL

David Axe reports in Forbes:

Just getting to the fight has become difficult for attacking Russians as winter deepens. The Russians are trying to get to the line of contact without their vehicles and infantry getting wiped out in the same missile, artillery, drone or mine strike. After losing more than a hundred tanks and 200 fighting vehicles at Avdiivka, the Russians switched to footborne infantry attacks. Fighting vehicles carry infantry to within a few hundred yards of the front line, drop them off and pull back. (But) even this method has proved too costly. So now the infantry are walking behind fighting vehicles. Imagine how tired an infantryman (is) after walking a mile or two, with weapons and all his ammunition, just to to begin his assault.

Russian forces on the attack in southern Ukraine have a new tactic as they maneuver toward the front line. Instead of piling on top of their fighting vehicles for a quick ride into battle, the infantry are following behind the vehicles ... on foot.

It’s obvious why. When a Ukrainian mine, drone, artillery shell or anti-tank missile strikes a Russian fighting vehicle while an infantry squad is on it or in it, the blast could kill everyone: the vehicle’s crew and its passengers.

If the infantry are trailing behind, however, they might dodge any attack on their accompanying vehicle.

The downside, of course, is mobility. To keep pace with the infantry behind it, a fighting vehicle must slow to a walking pace. Ironically, that might make the vehicle an easier target as it rolls toward the front line.

And for the infantry, walking can be tiring.

The independent Conflict Intelligence Team noted, in its latest dispatch, this change in Russian infantry tactics. “Drone footage shot around Robotyne shows Russian infantry walking behind infantry fighting vehicles, in what we call ‘police tactics,’" CIT explained.

“This may be aimed at protecting the infantry in the event of anti-tank guided missile or drone strikes,” CIT wrote. It pointed to a recent skirmish around Kharkiv in northeast Ukraine, where a Ukrainian Javelin anti-tank missile struck a Russian fighting vehicle carrying infantry on top of its hull.

To be clear, mechanized infantry always dismount at the line of contact in order to spread out and bring their individual weapons to bear.

The fighting vehicle that transported the infantry to the front line might stick around in order to lend its firepower to the infantry assault. Or, if the threat from anti-tank weapons is too great, the vehicle might pull back—and wait around at a safe distance in case the infantry need help evacuating.

In the event the vehicle sticks around to support the infantry and the infantry are advancing, there are two main formations: “lead with infantry” or “lead with tanks,” to borrow the U.S. military’s parlance.

 

Putting the tanks or fighting vehicles up front is better when a unit is “moving through open terrain with limited cover or concealment” or “there is a confirmed enemy location [and] direction,” the U.S. Army explained.

Ukrainian assault units famously apply this tactic when blending tanks and infantry. The infantry might ride into battle on top of the tank—“tank desant” is the term—then leap off once they’re within small-arms range of the enemy. The tank rolls forward, firing its cannon, and the infantry follow close behind.

When the enemy position is a few yards away, the tank swerves—and the infantry bound forward to toss grenades and fire their rifles.

That is not what apparently was happening in the Russian maneuver the Ukrainians observed outside Robotyne. Instead, the Russians simply were trying to get to the line of contact without all their vehicles and infantry getting wiped out in the same missile, artillery, drone or mine strike.

Just getting to the fight has become extremely difficult for attacking Russian forces as the winter deepens and the Russians shift from defense to offense along much of the 600-mile front of Russia’s wider war on Ukraine.

Consider the two-month-old Russian campaign around Avdiivka, in the northeast. First, the Russians tried attacking the Ukrainian garrison in Avdiivka with tanks supported by fighting vehicles.

After losing more than a hundred tanks and nearly 200 fighting vehicles to mines, artillery, missiles and drones, the Russians switched to footborne infantry attacks. The fighting vehicles would carry the infantry to within a few hundred yards from the front line, drop them off and then pull back.

Even this method apparently has proved too costly. So now the infantry are walking behind their fighting vehicles—at least around Robotyne. If enough fighting vehicles get plinked escorting the walking infantry to the front, expect to see Russian attacks where the infantry walk to the line of contact before also attacking on foot.

Imagine how tired an infantryman would be after walking a mile or two, with his weapon and all his ammunition, just to get close enough to begin his assault. Now imagine how much more tired he’d be if he were walking through the glue-like, ankle-deep mud that’s all over eastern and southern Ukraine during warmer winter days.

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