A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Dec 29, 2023

Coordinated Ukrainian Attacks on Forces, Logistics Degrade Russians At Avdiivka

Ukraine is not only targeting Russian troops and equipment around Avdiivka, but also fuel depots and logistics centers in the region, degrading Russian capabilities in winter when it is even harder to attack. 

This concerted effort has contributed to the Russian inability to make any significant gains anywhere. JL 

Euromaidan Press reports:

Avdiivka is still the main offensive operation of Russian forces. They fear repeating attritional frontal urban assaults as in Bakhmut, (so) are trying to bypass it. To complicate the Russian attempt, apart from destroying Russian tanks at the front, Ukraine is targeting Russian logistics in the region. Ukrainian HIMARS crews, over the last week, they hit logistical hubs in Donetsk, Horlivka, Makiivka, Yasynuvata, Illovaisk, Armians, three bases in Tokmak and are targeting Russian fuel depots. This is the result of coordinated work between Ukrainian partisans and Ukrainian forces

Ukrainians conducted a HIMARS raid on the warehouses in Armians and at least three bases in Tokmak. Ukrainian analysts stated that this is the result of coordinated work between Ukrainian partisans and Ukrainian forces. Since the most intense clashes are taking place in the east, the frequency and intensity of Ukrainian strikes in this region are even higher.

On 27 December, Ukrainian Tavriisk Group of Forces Commander Tarnavskyi stated that, so far, the Russian effort to capture Avdiivka is still the main offensive operation of the Russian forces. He stated that Russians fear that they would need to repeat attritional frontal urban assaults reminiscent of Bakhmut, which is why they are still trying to bypass and encircle Avdiivka.

Tarnavskyi stated that Russian forces are constantly transferring forces, primarily cheap prisoner Storm-Z units, to the Avdiivka direction to support attempts to break through Ukrainian defenses.

Screenshot from the Reporting from Ukraine video.

So far, Ukrainians are tightly controlling the line. As you remember, I told you last that Ukrainian forces in Avdiivka received a new batch of drones. This delivery came in handy because Russians started using more and more tanks in their renewed wave of offensive operations.

Ukrainian fighters from Special Force showed how they targeted a Russian tank near Krasnohorivka, causing an immediate detonation and a massive explosion. Another tank was hit trying to assume a firing position to hit Ukrainians. However, a drone hit the tank, the crew lost control, and the tank fell into a ditch. Another Russian tank tried to pull it out and evacuate but got hit with the drone as well.

Ukrainian fighters from the 116th Brigade also posted a video of repelling the most recent Russian mechanized assault on Stepove. Mines left by the drones immobilized the Russian tanks, and once the assault unit was annihilated, Ukrainians ensured that these Russian tanks would never be used here again. Other detachments also released footage of drone strikes and the destruction of Russian armored personnel carriers. One was with a powerful detonation that wiped out the infantry trying to hide under it.

Prominent Russian soldiers were seen complaining about the Ukrainian strikes and said that they could not penetrate the Ukrainian defense because of swarms of Ukrainian drones. He said that his assault units rarely manage to get to the front line in full force, so the Ukrainian drones pose a huge problem.

To complicate the Russian advancement even more, Ukrainians are also targeting the Russian logistics in the region. Judging by the Russian reports, Ukrainian HIMARS crews expanded their reach because, over the last week, they hit at least five logistical hubs: Donetsk, Horlivka, Makiivka, Yasynuvata, and Illovaisk.

Screenshot from the Reporting from Ukraine video.

In Donetsk, Ukrainians are continuing their defueling campaign, targeting Russian fuel depots. Recently, Ukrainians also hit the fuel infrastructure in Makiivka. Ukrainians also hit an unspecified target in Illoviask – the fire here looks exactly as in Donetsk when Ukrainians hit fuel depots, so it is highly likely that Illovaisk, which is located just 15 kilometers from Donetsk, also became a part of the Ukrainian defueling campaign.

As Russians are trying to ramp up their offensive effort along the entire contact line, Ukrainians are trying to derange the Russian logistics. The deranged logistics will create bottlenecks and shortages on the front lines, undermining the Russian offensive operation.

So, apart from destroying Russian tanks on the front lines, Ukrainians are also striking Russian logistical hubs from Crimea and Taganrog to Tokmak and Donetsk.

0 comments:

Post a Comment