A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Nov 21, 2023

Ukraine's Cross-Dnipro Assault Reportedly Causing Russian Evacuation, Retreat

Premature reports of Russian collapses and retreats have been manifest in the past, but multiple sources are reporting Russian forces retreating south and east of the cross-Dnipro bridgehead. 

This is due to Russian supply and reinforcement problems as well as the success with which Ukrainian marines, drones and artillery are having in suppressing Russian attempts to defend against the new offensive. JL 

Annielli reports in Daily Kos:

There are reports this morning that Russian forces and local administrative authorities are "regrouping without a fight" (relocating to more advantageous positions) from Krynky and Oleshky. The Russians have (reportedly) advised the occupying civil authorities to evacuate Oleshky. They are fleeing because Oleshky is under constant surveillance and (artillery) fire. The situation deteriorated faster than anticipated by the Russians, among reports of Ukrainian commandos operating behind the E97 (road). Reports also say Ukraine has effectively cut the only road that Russia can use to supply the Kinburn Spit, through fire control.There are various reports that Russia is in full panic mode on the left bank of the Dnipro River across from Kherson and is bugging out. Reports say that Ukraine has effectively cut the only road that Russia can use to supply the Kinburn Spit, presumably through fire control. Hopefully this is true.
There are reports this morning that Russian forces and local administrative authorities are "regrouping without a fight" (relocate to more advantageous positions) in the areas of #Krynky and #Oleshky. The Russians now estimate more that 250 AFU fighters are present there and recently capture "2-km" near Krynky (I believe southward into the forested area). Map: #OSINT #Counteroffensive #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineWar #Ukraine
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The Russians have advised the occupying civil authorities to evacuate Oleshky on the left bank The situation seems to deteriorate faster than anticipated by the Russians and the 'Kyiv in 3 days' crowd among reports of Ukrainian commandos operating behind the E97.

The occupying power is indeed fleeing Oleshok, but they do not plan to surrender the city.

A marine soldier spoke about this in more detail and indicated the reasons:They are fleeing because Oleshki is under constant surveillance and fire. He flew calmly over Oleshka and pointed the art at the house with the Russians.

FPV fully control all entrances. After the start of the curfew, any car on the approaches to Oleshok will be neutralized.I think they're just "not calm" there, but the soldier doesn't feel sorry for them, let's throw them to the last one. I don't think they will come out, because they keep everyone

(sic) meter now, and do not regret anything.Therefore, you should not rejoice too soon, the departure of the administration does not mean that we will go there tomorrow, but it indicates that, indeed, they may not leave at all, because we are already controlling all the entrances.

#Ukrainian forces are advancing along the left bank of the #Kherson region, and the occupation authorities are fleeing Oleshky. It is reported #Russians and collaborators have gathered documentation and are moving from #Oleshky to #VelykiKopani #ukrainecounteroffensive
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