A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Sep 30, 2023

Ukraine Continues To Consolidate Hold On Novoprokopivka

Ukrainian forces, including the 47th Mechanized Brigade continued to advance south towards Tokmak, consolidating their hold on Novoprokopivka and forcing defending Russian troops to retreat. JL 

Euromaidan Press reports:

After several days of  shaping operations, Ukrainians started pushing Russians further south. The 47th Mechanized Brigade continued conducting its operation in what was one of the most successful days in the week. Ukrainians control the tactical heights above Novoprokopivka. Operating at a higher elevation allows Ukraine to establish greater fire control over the lowlands, driving the enemy out of the village.

After several days of relentless shaping operations, Ukrainians increased the physical pressure on the southern line and started pushing Russians further south. However, the intensity of ground attacks is still not at its peak.

Screenshot from the video

As reported by Ukrainian fighters on the ground, one of the goals is to ensure the preservation of the personnel – otherwise, the storming operation cannot last for long.

Another reason why Ukrainians are utilizing careful tactics here lies in the topography of the region. If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Ukrainians are controlling the tactical heights above the settlement. Operating at a higher elevation allows Ukrainians to find and establish greater and greater fire control over the lowlands, slowly driving the enemy out of the outskirts of the village.

Screenshot from the video

Ukrainian drone operators from the 46th Assault Brigade released a video showing how they are attacking Russian positions in the northern part of the settlement.

 

By the way, this is exactly where the two Ukrainian soldiers died when they moved around the Russian defense and opened fire at the exposed Russian flanks.

Screenshot from the video

The fact that Ukrainians have released not a lot of videos with clearing operations suggests that Ukrainians learned their mistakes and are paying much more attention to this area than previously – annihilating all Russian troops that try to move into the region.

Screenshot from the video

Russian military analysts, however, claimed that Ukrainian assault units exhausted their offensive capabilities during the previous series of attacks when Ukrainians entered the village from the north and northeast. In particular, it was reported that the Ukrainian 47th Mechanized Brigade lost its combat capability and was completely moved out of the region.

Screenshot from the video



Screenshot from the video

As reported by Ukrainian fighters on the ground, one of the goals is to ensure the preservation of the personnel – otherwise, the storming operation cannot last for long.

Another reason why Ukrainians are utilizing careful tactics here lies in the topography of the region. If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Ukrainians are controlling the tactical heights above the settlement. Operating at a higher elevation allows Ukrainians to find and establish greater and greater fire control over the lowlands, slowly driving the enemy out of the outskirts of the village.Ukrainian drone operators from the 46th Assault Brigade released a video showing how they are attacking Russian positions in the northern part of the settlement.

Screenshot from the video

By the way, this is exactly where the two Ukrainian soldiers died when they moved around the Russian defense and opened fire at the exposed Russian flanks.

Ukrainian fighters from multiple detachments that are operating in the region promptly disproved such claims and reported that not only does the 47th Mechanized Brigade continue conducting its operation but also that today was actually one of the most successful days in the week because they managed to push Russians further south.

Screenshot from the video

And the fighters from the 47th Mechanized Brigade itself released the footage of the recent storming operation north of Novoprokopivka. As can be seen, the assault units were successfully delivered to the contact line with Bradleys, after which they quickly assumed positions in the trenches.

Screenshot from the video

The landing operation was conducted with the fire support of tanks in the back that unleashed fire on the Russian strong points, suppressing the enemy fire. As noted by many analysts, the Ukrainian crew inside the tank is also purposefully leveraging the folds in terrain and the tree line to complicate the aiming of the Russian ATGM crews.

Screenshot from the video

As of now, the immediate tactical goal of the Ukrainian assault units is to establish total control over the northern part of the village.

Screenshot from the video

This will automatically drive Russians out of the central part of the village because it is located in the lowlands and split the control over the village equally.

Screenshot from the video

This is precisely the same tactic the Ukrainians used when they pushed Russians out of Robotyne, although with Novoprokopivka, there are unique advantages and difficulties. On the one hand, Russians do not have an extensive trench network in the southern part of the village, which should make the storming operation easier. On the other hand, the village is not located on one platform, making it harder to get from the northern to southern parts of the village.

Screenshot from the video

In order to complicate Ukrainian advances, Russian forces continue conducting airstrikes, predominantly using FAB-500 air bombs. Under such conditions, Ukrainian fighters once again underscored the necessity of operating in small units. This way, Russians simply cannot inflict a lot of losses at a time and have to raise their aviation and use such powerful weapons in trying to hit three or four troops in a trench line, which is also hard to hit precisely.

Screenshot from the video

Unfortunately for Russians, there are even bigger problems with conducting these low-efficiency strikes. Today, Russian sources confirmed that Russian forces accidentally shot down their own fighter jet that was on a mission to conduct an air strike. The pilots did not survive. Later, released footage showed how the intercepted jet fell on the ground.Russian analysts concluded that the “Identification, Friend or Foe” once again malfunctioned, and Russians thought that it was a Strom Shadow missile. And this explanation is quite plausible because today, Ukrainians indeed launched Storm Shadow missiles on the Russian military bases in Berdiansk. In any case, friendly fire remains one of the leading causes of death, according to Russian statistics.


 


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