Russia's Best Troops Were Rushed To Stop Ukraine's Breach, But Failed

Like Napoleon ordering his Old Guard into the Battle of Waterloo, Russian commanders have deployed their best troops - airborne and special forces - in attempt to block Ukrainian forces from advancing on Tokmak. But like Napoleon, that effort has faltered. 

The Ukrainians are better led, better equipped, have better intelligence and weapons. The result is that even elite troops can only do so much when they are outnumbered, exhausted from constant combat and are increasingly depleted by the unceasing combat. JL 

Thibault Spirlet reports in Business Insider:

Russia scrambled elite units - the 7th Guards Mountain Airborne Division and the 76th Guards VDV - which were redeployed in mid-August to repel Ukrainian attacks on Robotyne to stop Ukraine from advancing - but failed in its attempt. Elite Russian Spetsnaz and VDV elements (are)  the "primary counterattack elements" in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Despite Russia's efforts, Ukrainian troops have gained momentum and made advances over the last few weeks, with armored vehicles now operating beyond the final line of Russia's defenses. "Ukraine's ability to bring armored vehicles through the most formidable Russian defenses are important signs of progress in the counteroffensive."

Russia scrambled elite units to southern Ukraine in an effort to stop Ukraine from advancing — but has so far failed in its attempt, a prominent Washington think tank says.

The Institute for the Study of the War said Russia's 7th Guards Mountain Airborne Division and the 76th Guards VDV were redeployed in mid-August to repel Ukrainian attacks in the southern village of Robotyne, which Ukrainian troops retook earlier this month in a significant breakthrough.

They might have been sent to relieve elements of the 22nd and 45th Separate Spetsnaz Brigades that had been counterattacking against Ukraine during the earlier phases of its counteroffensive, it said, adding that relatively elite Russian Spetsnaz and VDV elements appeared to be the "primary counterattack elements" in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

But despite Russia's efforts, Ukrainian troops seem to have gained momentum and have made gradual advances over the last few weeks, with armored vehicles now operating beyond the final line of Russia's defenses in western Zaporizhia, the ISW said.

 

"Russian forces currently defending in western Zaporizhia Oblast have been unable to prevent Ukrainian forces from making gradual but steady advances since mid-August," it said.

The ISW said it could not yet determine whether Ukrainian troops had completely broken through that last line of defense.

It added, however, that "the Ukrainian ability to bring armored vehicles to and through the most formidable Russian defenses intended to stop them and to operate these vehicles near prepared Russian defensive positions are important signs of progress in the Ukrainian counteroffensive."

Multiple war analysts reacted to footage on Thursday of what appeared to be Western-made Stryker and Marder infantry battle vehicles breaching Russian defenses.

 

Rob Lee, a defense analyst, said the footage appeared to depict Ukraine's elite 82nd Air Assault Brigade, which joined the counteroffensive efforts in August.

A Ukrainian soldier, meanwhile, described Russian troops in the area to The Wall Street Journal as "poor quality" and "earth movers."