A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Sep 8, 2023

Russian Troops' Increased Tokmak Looting May Suggest Prelude To Evacuation

This is reminiscent of what happened when Ukrainian forces threatened Kherson a year ago; as the Russians faced increased threat of being cut off, their troops began looting and fleeing before they were formally withdrawn. JL

Lew Anno reports in Twitter:

Russian occupation troops are showing signs of preparation for "evacuation" from Tokmak - stealing and taking everything they can. "The "Looting & Loading" sign never fails. Best form of intel to predict🇷🇺 withdrawal, suggesting Tokmak defense will be half-hearted. Why fight and possibly lose the great stuff you just looted?" (If Russia) loses the railway, which passes through Tokmak, then to Dzhankoy, and feeds the Crimean and south, the occupier will lose the main artery of his "dry corridor" to the Crimea.The Russian army will lose Tokmak, and behind it the entire south, there will be no battle for the beaches of Azov. The Russian occupation troops are showing signs of preparation for "evacuation" from Tokmak - they are stealing and taking away everything they can. Indeed, the Defense Forces of Ukraine approached this settlement very close, at a distance of less than 20 kilometers. But the main thing for the enemy is not keeping certain cities or villages of Ukraine from being controlled, but the logistical route, the railway, which passes through Tokmak, then to Dzhankoy, and feeds the Crimean and southern groups of the occupier’s army Having lost this railway branch, the enemy will actually lose the main artery of his "dry corridor" to the Crimea, the main way of supplying everything necessary for his southern group. Cutting this railway line is only a matter of time. After the capture of Tokmak, you can expect a "gesture of goodwill" in Melitopol: the enemy will leave the city. He will not fight for the beaches of the Sea of ​​Azov either. This opinion was expressed in an exclusive interview with OBOZREVATEL by a veteran of the Russian-Ukrainian war, Reserve Major of the Armed Forces Oleksiy Hetman.

 

The "Looting & Loading" sign never fails. Best form of intel to predict🇷🇺 withdrawal. I will go way out on a limb and suggest the Tokmak defense will be half-hearted. Why fight and possibly lose the great stuff you just looted?

 

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