A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Aug 31, 2021

Why Three-Quarters of S and P 500 Are Outperforming Pre-Covid Revenue

Companies that did well during the pandemic - or rebounded from initial business declines continue to outperform their previous financials. 

This is due to continued consumer demand driven by government support for the economy and their own, effective adaptation to rapidly changing circumstances. JL 

Kyle Kim reports in the Wall Street Journal:

More than three-quarters of the largest U.S. companies reported higher revenue than before Covid-19. Semiconductor, retail and pharmaceutical companies fared the best compared with other sectors. Biotech saw some of the largest revenue percentage growth. Revenues at the largest oil-and-gas companies are returning to pre-pandemic levels. Retail businesses that specialize in home improvement and auto parts also saw continuous revenue growth. Videogame companies were some of the best performers in media and entertainment.

More than three-quarters of the largest U.S. companies reported higher revenue than before Covid-19, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis, indicating that many have adapted to changing business conditions caused by the pandemic.

Among the companies in the S&P 500, 213 have reported revenue for the calendar year’s second quarter above 2019 levels after a drop in 2020. Another 153 have had second-quarter revenue in each of the past two years that exceeded 2019.

Meanwhile, 101 companies remain below their 2019 figures, and 10 saw a drop this year after a rise last year.

The numbers are based on a Journal analysis of FactSet data for the 477 S&P 500 companies that have reported results for the second quarter through Friday.

Slower to recover

The consumer-services sector had the largest decline in second-quarter 2021 revenues from the same period of 2019. The charts below show percentage change in median second-quarter revenue since 2019, by sector.

CONSUMER SERVICES
2019'20'21-31.3
ENERGY
2019'20'21-2.7
TRANSPORTATION
2019'20'21-1.6

It was largely dragged down by companies related to travel and tourism.

NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE
2019'20'21-99.7
CARNIVAL
2019'20'21-99.0
ROYAL CARIBBEAN
2019'20'21-98.2
LAS VEGAS SANDS
2019'20'21-64.8
HILTON
2019'20'21-46.5
BOOKING
2019'20'21-43.1
MARRIOTT
2019'20'21-40.6
WYNN RESORTS
2019'20'21-40.3
EXPEDIA
2019'20'21-33.0
MGM RESORTS
2019'20'21-29.6

The major U.S. airlines have seen passenger numbers rebound but are still reporting revenues below 2019 levels.

UNITED
2019'20'21-52.0
DELTA
2019'20'21-43.0
AMERICAN
2019'20'21-37.5
SOUTHWEST
2019'20'21-32.2

In the energy sector, revenues at the largest oil-and-gas companies are returning to pre-pandemic levels after big drops last year.

MARATHON PETROLEUM
2019'20'21-11.5
VALERO ENERGY
2019'20'21-4.1
CHEVRON
2019'20'21-3.2
PHILLIPS 66
2019'20'21-2.2
EXXON MOBIL
2019'20'21-1.9
Continued growth

Roughly a third of the S&P 500 index have seen steady or rapid growth during the pandemic. Semiconductor, retail and pharmaceutical companies fared the best compared with other sectors.

SEMICONDUCTORS AND EQUIPMENT
2019'20'2153.0
RETAIL
2019'20'2131.3
PHARMACEUTICALS, BIOTECH AND LIFE SCIENCES
2019'20'2126.4
DIVERSIFIED FINANCIALS
2019'20'2125.5
SOFTWARE AND SERVICES
2019'20'2121.0
HOUSEHOLD AND PERSONAL PRODUCTS
2019'20'2110.5
FOOD AND STAPLES RETAIL
2019'20'216.2
BANKS
2019'20'215.4

Companies in biotech saw some of the largest revenue percentage growth in pharmaceuticals, biotechnology and life sciences. Moderna Inc. MRNA -3.02% had the largest revenue increase among the entire S&P 500. The company’s revenue increased 33,187% from the second quarter of 2019 to 2021—a figure too large to include in our charts.

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc.’s REGN 2.08% revenues jumped 165.7% in the second quarter of 2021, largely thanks to its use of experimental treatment for Covid-19. Other pharmaceuticals in the sector posted strong revenue growth in their respective markets.

.

REGENERON
2019'20'21165.7
VERTEX
2019'20'2190.5
BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB
2019'20'2186.6
PERKINELMER
2019'20'2170.1
ABBVIE
2019'20'2169.1

Retailers—including those that are primarily online as well as those with stores—led some of the largest growth in the retail sector.

ETSY
2019'20'21192.1
AMAZON
2019'20'2178.3
TARGET
2019'20'2136.6
COSTCO
2019'20'2130.3
WALMART
2019'20'218.2

Select retail businesses that specialize in home improvement and auto parts also saw continuous revenue growth.

TRACTOR SUPPLY
2019'20'2153.0
O’REILLY AUTOMOTIVE
2019'20'2133.8
LOWE’S
2019'20'2131.3

Videogame companies were some of the best performers in media and entertainment.

ELECTRONIC ARTS
2019'20'2179.8
VIACOMCBS
2019'20'2172.3
FACEBOOK
2019'20'2172.2
TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE
2019'20'2168.5
ACTIVISION BLIZZARD
2019'20'2159.1
NETFLIX
2019'20'2149.1
Bounced back

Most companies in the S&P experienced some level of revenue drop in their first year of the pandemic before rebounding back to pre-pandemic levels or better.

Caesars Entertainment Inc. CZR -2.03% experienced the biggest rebound in revenue among S&P 500 companies. The gains were boosted by the company’s merger with Eldorado Resorts Inc. in July 2020, but they also reflected improving demand in the company’s regional markets and in Las Vegas. Other notable companies that recovered strongly include Tesla Inc., TSLA 2.67% Twitter Inc. TWTR 2.00% and Google parent Alphabet Inc. GOOG 0.64%

CAESARS ENTERTAINMENT
2019'20'21292.7
TESLA
2019'20'2188.3
ALPHABET
2019'20'2158.9
TWITTER
2019'20'2141.5
CHIPOTLE
2019'20'2132.0
FEDEX
2019'20'2127.0
NIKE
2019'20'2121.2
MCDONALD’S
2019'20'2110.2
STARBUCKS
2019'20'219.9

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