A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Dec 31, 2016

Everybody Lies On Social Media: Just Ask Bankruptcy Asset Hunters

Just as the digital and tangible are converging, so are fantasy and reality. JL

Katy Stech reports in the Wall Street Journal:

Earlier this year, rapper Curtis James Jackson III, known as 50 Cent, got the attention of the judge hearing his bankruptcy case by posting to his Instagram account photos of himself lounging with stacks of cash. The money hadn’t been disclosed in his bankruptcy-court filings. Faced with questions, Mr. Jackson was forced to admit: The cash was fake.

The Socio-Economic Impact of Driverless Vehicles Could Be Profound

The changes will not be limited to the automotive market, but will be wide-ranging, affecting jobs, housing, incomes and economic growth. JL

Business Insider reports:

Baby boomers and millennials indicate a strong desire to live near urban centers and, in many cases, they don't own a vehicle. Consumers will quickly get used to riding in driverless vehicles, similarly to how they replaced the horse and buggy. Data sharing will be crucial for vehicles’ navigation around the roads, but also for safety.

How Time Management Is Ruining Our Lives

In the 24-7-365 endless data economy, does making yourself more efficient even register? JL

Oliver Burkeman reports in The Guardian:

The modern economy is notable for its limitlessness. The stream of incoming emails is endless: you’re still Sisyphus, rolling his boulder up that hill for all eternity – you’re just rolling it slightly faster. Techniques designed to enhance one’s personal productivity seem to exacerbate the very anxieties they were meant to allay. The better you get at managing time, the less of it you feel that you have.

Dec 30, 2016

The Long Term Job Killer Isn't China, It's Automation

Reality bites. JL

Claire Miller reports in The Upshot:

Analysis attributed roughly 13 percent of manufacturing job losses to trade and the rest to enhanced productivity because of automation.

Chatbots Are Only As Good As the Open or Closed Platform They Live On

Basically, the bot's ability to learn defines its power - and that is enhanced or constrained by its openness to new data. JL

Cameron Weeks reports in Venture Beat:

The benefits of machine-learning chatbots multiply tenfold when that chatbot operates on an open contact center platform. There is no limit to what the chatbot can do or learn. It can traverse APIs and gain access to an infinite knowledge base stored within integrated software — if the chatbot can access it, the chatbot can learn from it.

How the World's Largest Hedge Fund Wants To Assure Its Future Greatness By Building An Algorithmic Model From Its Employees' Brains

The challenge is that this process assumes the firm's current employees embody the best thinking available in their fields and that the model will anticipate the changes sure to come.

And then there is the wealth of experience which suggests markets often make fools of human hubris.

But other than that...JL

Rob Copeland and Bradley Hope report in the Wall Street Journal:

The ultimate vision would be to predict outcomes of meetings before they are completed, and to guide people to take certain actions throughout the day. Within five years,  nearly three-quarters of management decisions to be determined by (the algorithm). The role of many remaining humans at the firm wouldn’t be to make individual choices but to design the criteria by which the system makes decisions, intervening when something isn’t working.

Dec 29, 2016

How, Not If, Artificial Intelligence Will Be Creatively Hacked

Systems have been hacked since they were first introduced. The only questions for the latest, like artificial intelligence, are when and how. JL

Will Knight reports in MIT Technology Review:

Almost anything bad you can think of doing to a machine-learning model can be done right now. And defending it is really, really hard. Researchers have demonstrated various ways in which machine-learning programs could be manipulated by exploiting their propensity to spot patterns in data. They are vulnerable, in part, because they lack actual intelligence.

Gig Economy Workers Are Taking On More Key Tasks and Becoming More Valuable

As the economy demands more specialists and fewer generalists, those with niche skills become more valuable - and can demand more concessions from employers. JL

Lauren Weber reports in the Wall Street Journal:

Nearly 16% of the U.S. workforce in 2015 was composed of people in contingent work arrangements, including freelance graphic designers and part-time management consultants. Contractors and consultants with niche skills have many options, and they are demanding to be treated “with dignity and almost as if they’re your employee. That means offering them not just respect but even some of the benefits available to permanent employees

The Growing Challenges of Big Data Analytics

The biggest challenge for most organizations is figuring out what they want from the data they have or can get - and finding people who can cut through the morass to deliver answers that matter. JL

Kevin O'Marah comments in Forbes:

81% of all supply chain executives surveyed who say big data analytics is ‘disruptive and important’ are likely just assuming it’s big rather than knowing first-hand. Big data analytics is less about mysterious mathematics and more about using our fast-evolving computing tools to answer the questions we care about.

Dec 28, 2016

Facing Layoffs At Carnival Cruise Lines, IT Employees Fight Back With Bold Proposal

The laid off employees have been told they will be given an opportunity to work at the outsourcing firm taking their jobs.

(But) they believe (probably with some justification based on the broad base of experience) that they will be required to transfer their knowledge to lower paid workers elsewhere in the world and will then be let go. That they are fighting back may be a sign of a change in workforce attitudes and, potentially, government tolerance of job loss. JL

Patrick Thibodeau reports in ComputerWorld:

Capgemini, an IT services company, sent an employment offer. (Employees) responded with a counteroffer (that) asked for "a one-time, $100,000 donation to a charity of your choice providing services to the unemployed American workers." The counteroffer also included a provision asking for "a personal, signed apology letter from both the CEO of Capgemini, as well as the CEO of Carnival, to each of the families who have been affected by this decision."

Nielsen Begins Serious Shift To Modern Data Measurement

Nielsen belatedly acknowledges the value of data from multiple platforms. JL

Ben Sisario reports in the New York Times:

Despite Nielsen’s push into more expansive and detailed means of tracking consumers, it has faced steady criticism for outdated methods of measuring media ratings. In recent years, the company still relied on paper diaries to track television viewing, for example, and TV networks have said repeatedly that Nielsen’s ratings are unreliable.

Why Information Won't Make Us Immortal

It's not even making us that much smarter, let alone more philosophical, intellectual or spiritual. JL

Riccardo Manzotti comments in Motherboard:

Given the fact that nobody knows for sure what our minds are, information seems a reasonable candidate. (And) the crucial role of information suggests a progressive shift from reality to the data we collect. (But) information is not the Soul 2.0. Pressing the ‘save’ button won’t save us.

Dec 27, 2016

Starbucks Has Big Plans For Artificial Intelligence

Anticipating your order to speed up the transaction - and to suggest some additional purchase possibilities based on its knowledge of customer affinities. JL

Daniel Kline reports in The Motley Fool:

Starbucks has been a technology company for the past few years as much as it has been a coffee purveyor. The company was the first to integrate digital payment into its app, making it  common to see people pay holding their phones to a scanner. Starbucks also led with Mobile Order & Pay that allows people to skip the line. The next step in evolving that platform will be using what it has learned about its customers to better serve them.

Why Uber Is Continuing To Hemorrhage Cash

Because the service is inherently unprofitable. The company and its investors are subsidizing low fares in hopes of eventually driving competitors - including public transportation - out of business so that it can then raise prices based on its monopolist model. But with state and local governments fighting back, that is no longer looking like as sure a thing as it once did. JL

Ryan Felton reports in Jalopnik:

Uber passengers are paying only 41 percent of the actual cost of their trips; Uber is using these massive subsidies to undercut the fares and provide more capacity than the competitors who had to cover 100 percent of their costs out of passenger fares.

Reshoring and Our Automated Future

American robots have become less expensive than Chinese workers. Especially when you factor in the cost of transportation. JL 

Elizabeth Kolbert reports in The New Yorker:

Reshoring reduces transportation costs and cuts down on the time required to bring new designs to market. But it doesn’t do much for employment, because the operations that are moving back to the U.S. are largely automated. This is the major reason that there is a reshoring trend; salaries are no longer an issue once you get rid of the salaried.

Dec 26, 2016

The Reason Cloud Computing Will Keep Growing

Because data is the key to computing and computing is the key to every existing and future enterprise. JL 

Quentin Hardy reports in the New York Times:

As innovations like artificial intelligence and connected devices become popular, customers are putting cloud components in mobile computing, home games and email marketing campaigns. In other words, the big clouds aim to be everywhere.

As Google, Twitter and Facebook Fight Lawsuits Over Role In Terrorism, Victims' Lawyers Change Tactics

Technology creates responsibility. And sometimes, liability. JL

Paul Sawers reports in Venture Beat:

Lawyers are claiming that the technology companies are more than platform-providers — they’re original content creators that share ad revenue with the terrorist postings.

The Tesla Advantage: 1.3 Billion Miles of Data

Knowledge is power. And it is also the future. JL

Dana Hull reports in Bloomberg:

The 1.3 billion miles of data Tesla said it has collected represents those covered by its vehicles even when Autopilot isn’t switched on—it operates in “shadow mode,” with sensors tracking real-world data when it’s off. "They can learn from a wider range of experiences and at a much faster rate than a company that is testing with trained drivers and employees behind the wheel.”

Why Zappos Is Struggling with Holacracy: Because Humans Weren't Designed to Operate Like Software

Organizations are not emotionless systems and people are not code. As the old saying goes, 'business would be easy if it weren't for customers and employees.'

Aimee Groth reports in Quartz:

Developed by a software engineer, Holacracy pushes humans to run like a computer. The barrier to hyper-efficiency is human emotion. (So) it attempts to eliminate the ways in which humanity interferes with productivity. The appeal of Holacracy’s organizational design reflects the Silicon Valley ethos— an optimal confluence of human and technology. (But) “Silicon Valley has an empathy vacuum. People become numbers, algorithms become rules, and reality becomes what data says. Empathy is not a buzzword but something to be practiced.”

Dec 25, 2016

Some Burger King Locations Will Trade Unwanted Gifts For Whoppers

Ugly sweaters versus Whoppers? JL

Ed Mazza reports in Huffington Post:

Burger King customers in Miami Beach, London and Brazil can bring unwanted Christmas presents to select stores to trade for a Whopper.  Itchy sweaters... Trump neckties... smelly candles... and more no longer have to get stashed into your closet until being passed along to a new victim recipient.

Ecommerce Spurs the Rebirth of Bubble Wrap

And it's still so much fun to pop! JL

Bouree Lam reports in The Atlantic:

The increasing popularity of e-commerce—which accounts for over 8 percent of total retail sales as of last quarter—has been a boon for protective-packaging companies, now a $5.6 billion industry. Historically, the industry served mostly manufacturing and wholesale clients. But e-commerce is playing a much bigger role. Retail has gone from less than 20 percent of packaging sales in the U.S. to 30 percent. U.S. demand for air cushions alone is up by 5.5 percent this year.

How the Internet Has Ruined the Surprise Christmas Gift

C'mon, if they wanted you to be surprised they'd create a tab and charge you for it. JL

Laura Stevens reports in the Wall Street Journal:

As more shoppers migrate from the mall to their phones, tablets and computers, Christmas surprises are getting harder to pull off. People with online accounts say they live in fear of having their covers blown by their browsing histories, or by cookies that generate ads that follow them around the internet. Home package deliveries and tech-savvy children are compounding the problem, too.“Before you used to check mom’s closet for all your presents, and now you check her online account.”

An Economist's Guide To Gift Giving

It appears the return on sentiment has yet to be calculated with any degree of accuracy. JL

Ezra Klein comments in the Washington Post:

(Those surveyed) estimated that their holiday gifts had cost $508.90 on average. But they would have been just as happy with $462.10 in cash. Between a tenth and a third of the value of holiday gifts is destroyed by gift-giving. Generalized across the economy, holiday gift-giving was destroying billions of dollars in value annually. I would happily pay someone not to give me a rock with a spiritual inscription. But the rock was a gift from my mother, and so I’ll never part with it. To me, its value is incalculable.