Making things or providing services to large numbers of people is a
complicated business. You have to have a marketable idea, probably a brilliant
one. You have to hire workers. You have to manage them. (You may even have to
deal with a union, God forbid.) You need to build a spirit of cooperation and a
culture that values high quality and customer service. And don’t forget the R
and D you’ll need to keep the innovation
flowing. Of course, you also have to
compete in a crowded global marketplace, create an entirely new niche, or both.
It ’s the kind of work that keeps you up at all hours. The sweat in sweat equity
is real. No way do you want to go near this game when you could run a hedge fund
instead.
Better to enter the mystical world of money managing, as described by Daniel
A. Strachman, who has written several informative books on hedge funds. He
believes that hedge-fund
managers deserve to make so much with so little
labor because they are simply more brilliant than those plebeians who
worry about making cute little gadgets. Strachman is absolutely awed
by hedge-fund billionaires:
"These individuals are some of the brightest
investment managers of all time, possessing unique skill sets that have
made them extremely successful at managing money and exploiting market opportunities.... In essence, they are capable
of seeing the markets in ways that most
of us simply cannot imagine, and it is this rare vision that allows them to determine whether
opportunities have value, thereby
creating infinite windows to make money. That is what makes them great hedge fund
managers." (Strachman 2008, 16)
I have no doubt that these hedge-fund guys are very bright fellows and that
the ones who make it to the top possess intelligence, foresight, and obscure
knowledge. But really, are these hedge-fund guys so much brighter than those who
create and manufacture everything
we use? Is their “rare vision” so superior
to that of the late
Steve Jobs and
his associates? And just what are those “infinite windows” that “most of us
simply cannot imagine”?
We all know how Apple earns its keep. It invents, manufactures, and markets
products that the world voraciously consumes. (It also profits by using
regimented workers in China who live in company dorms, wear identical company
uniforms, get paid little, and work around the clock whenever Apple needs them.)
The iMac,
iPod,
iTunes store,
iPhone, and
iPad
have driven Apple’s net profit from $4.8 billion in 2008 to $8.2 billion in
2009, to $14 billion in 2010, and a stunning $26 billion in 2011.
Meanwhile, Tepper’s Appaloosa hedge fund probably took in $20 billion,
racking up an incredible 117 percent return for its investors in 2009. Doing
what, exactly? Where ’s their iPad?
Here ’s what the financial website
HedgeFundBlogger.com says about how Tepper made
his billions:
"[Tepper] did so by betting that the recession
would not last as long as many analysts and public officials predicted and
taking big stakes in struggling firms like
Bank of
America and Citigroup. Tepper understood that the government would not
nationalize these banks and when many were unsure of the two banks’ futures his
fund was buying up shares which he believed were significantly underpriced. By
purchasing these shares and stakes in other smaller banks and financial lending
institutions,
Appaloosa
Management LP was able to turn a $6.5 billion profit in 2009."
“It was crazy,” says Tepper, a Pittsburgh native. “In February and early
March, people were in a panic” (Wilson 2010).
If this report is correct, Mr. Tepper made almost as much as Apple by betting
that we taxpayers would bail out, but not nationalize, Bank of America and
Citigroup. And, of course, we did.
Citigroup got the Federal Reserve’s rock-solid guarantee for more than $300
billion in toxic assets then rotting on the company ’s balance sheet. Without
our bailouts, both banks would have folded—and a slew of other banks and hedge
funds would have toppled like dominoes. (These two banks also took advantage of
billions of dollars in hidden Federal Reserve loans provided at
negligible interest rates.)
Yet Tepper was also shrewdly betting that the government
would never play hardball with the big banks.
Washington, he sensed, would not
nationalize these failing banks, a move that would wipe out its shareholders. No, he saw that the
political establishment was too afraid
of another Great Depression—and of
spooking global markets—to risk letting the big banks fail. Besides, the government ’s perceived interests had
become completely entwined with Wall
Street’s. The revolving door between Wall Street and Washington was spinning fast, with
all of the key economic positions in
both the Bush and the Obama administrations held by Wall Streeters.
These high finance recidivists
temporarily running the government
shared the same worldview as their Wall
Street colleagues: big banks should not be nationalized. Instead, as Tepper apparently guessed, Treasury
Secretary Henry Paulson (under Bush) and
then Timothy Geithner (under Obama) would put the power of the government behind those
banks so that they could go back to
making sizable profits for their shareholders, who would be protected and bailed
out.
As Tepper noted, many other investors panicked, either because they did fear
nationalization, or because they’d been forced to sell securities to raise cash
and cover other losses. Those wary investors dumped their banking securities,
creating a delicious buying opportunity for Tepper. He jumped in with both
feet.
Ironically, Tepper was betting against free market ideology, which preaches
that you ’re rewarded when your investment succeeds and punished when it fails.
When investments succeed, shareholders are rewarded with dividends and rising
share prices. When they fail,
shareholders lose their money.
Citigroup was a financial toxic dump in the fall of 2008, and Bank of America
wasn’t far behind. Under idealized “free market” capitalism, both banks would
have gone under, entirely wiping out shareholders’ equity. Bondholders probably
would have received pennies on the dollar for their loans. Too bad. To
paraphrase the drunken baseball manager played by Tom Hanks in the movie A
League of Their Own, there ’s no crying in capitalism.
Tepper’s big bets suggest that he knew this quaint form of capitalism was
long gone. So, while most investors were fleeing financial stocks in terror,
Tepper had the cojones to buy them up cheap. Cojones—literally. According to
the Wall Street Journal ,
Tepper “keeps a brass replica of a pair of testicles in a prominent spot on his
desk, a present from former employees. He rubs the gift for luck during the
trading day to get a laugh out of colleagues" (Zuckerman 2009).
Tepper reminds me of George Washington
Plunkitt of Tammany Hall, who also had
cojones. Said Plunkitt in 1905:
"There’s an honest graft, and I ’m an example of how
it works. I might sum up the whole thing
by sayin’: Just let me explain by
examples. My party’s in power in the city, and it ’s goin’ to undertake a lot of
public improvements. Well, I ’m tipped off, say, that they ’re going to
layout a new park at a certain place. I
see my opportunity and I take it. I go
to that place and I buy up all the land I can in the neighborhood. Then the board of this or that makes
its plan public, and there is a rush to
get my land, which nobody cared
particular for before. Ain’t it
perfectly honest to charge a good price and make a profit on my investment and
foresight? Of course it is. Well, that ’s honest graft. . . . It ’s just like lookin’ ahead in Wall Street or in
the coffee or cotton market. It ’s honest graft, and I’m lookin’ for it
every day in the year. I will tell you frankly that I ’ve got a good
lot of it, too."
Let me make this perfectly clear to any litigators present: I am not
suggesting that Tepper traded on insider information about impending government
moves or that he received any “graft” of any kind. (You’re not going to make
your next million off me.) I’m only saying that like Plunkitt of Tammany Hall,
Tepper knew that business and government were of a piece. So when, on cue,
Washington came to Wall Street’s rescue, Tepper cashed in on his bet. That’s how
he alone earned almost as much in one year as Apple and its tens of thousands of
employees did.
Does that mean Tepper has our bailout money in his pocket?
Indirectly, yes. By buying shares of Bank of America and Citigroup, Tepper
became a part owner. Fine and dandy. But his shares had real value and gained in
value only because of the billions in federal cash, the billions in federal
asset guarantees, and the billions in cheap federal loans those banks collected
from taxpayers.
We didn ’t write a check and put it in Tepper ’s pocket. We didn ’t have to.
He just “seen [his] opportunities and . . . took ’em.”
The key point to remember is that if Tepper had bet wrong and the Fed hadn’t
ridden to the rescue, then his hedge fund—and most hedge funds—would have lost
billions. In fact, the bailouts saved the entire hedge-fund industry from utter
collapse.
4 comments:
You’re doing a remarkable process. Hold it up
Thanks for providing such blogs.
Thank you! I never thought about it that way before and I appreciated your fresh take on the subject.
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