A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Mar 15, 2012

Glass Houses and All That: Germany Fails to Meet Its Own Austerity Goals. Two Years in a Row

Awkward.

It has been a banner week for saying one thing and doing another. People who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones. What's good for the goose is good for the gander. The headlines have been a veritable Child's Garden of Verses the past few days. And you know all those culpable are hiding in their bedrooms nurturing visions of their parents wagging their fingers and saying 'I told you so.'

The German situation is especially acute. There are seemingly credible reports from Greece of people starving, selling their children and otherwise having a difficult time adjusting to the the EU's tough love approach. Which appears to be very long on tough and extremely short on love.

But now reports surface - in Germany's own Der Spiegel - that Chancellor Angela Merkel's government did not even come close to meeting its own austerity targets in 2011 and is falling way behind again in 2012. In ethical terms, this appears to be hypocritical. But just as importantly, in economic terms this is simply a refusal to acknowledge what the evidence from the UK, US and others seems to be proving: that austerity is not working as promised by its fervent supporters. If Germany is having trouble meeting its targets, what chance do Greece, Portugal, Ireland or Spain have? The sooner economic policy refocuses on practical solutions rather than moral judgments, the faster the recovery will arrive. JL

Der Spiegel reports:
European countries are expected to implement tough austerity measures amid the debt crisis. But Germany isn't setting a very good example. SPIEGEL has learned that Berlin failed to reach its own austerity goals in 2011. And despite pressuring its neighbors to save, Germany is behind this year too.

As she travels from one European Union summit to the next, Angela Merkel's constant mantra in recent months has been austerity, austerity, austerity. But apparently the German chancellor hasn't been quite as strict when it comes to her own country's budget. SPIEGEL reports this week that the German government didn't reach even half of its planned savings in the federal budget. Only 42 percent of the spending cuts named by Merkel's coalition government, comprised of the conservative Christian Democrats and the business-friendly Free Democratic Party, were actually implemented. Calculations made by the influential Cologne Institute for Economic Research indicate that only €4.7 billion ($6.16 billion) of the €11.2 billion in austerity measures stipulated by the savings package actually took shape in 2011.

The government is also falling behind on its targets for this year. Of the originally planned €19.1 billion in savings, less than half has been implemented. For the coming year, the concrete measures that have been agreed on so far cover just one-third of the announced amount of savings. Merkel's cabinet is hoping to agree to the basic foundations of the 2013 federal budget in March.

Embarrassing Lapse

This lapse is particularly embarrassing for the German government because the news comes just after 25 European Union member states agreed in early March to an international fiscal pact obliging them to adhere to greater fiscal discipline. The pact also calls for the creation of balanced budget initiatives modelled on Germany's debt brake legislation that would be enforced by the EU's court, the European Court of Justice in Luxembourg.

The aim of the pact is to make EU countries maintain binding austerity measures that leaders hope will contain the debt crisis and prevent countries like Greece from being able to pile up massive debts again. "It is a milestone in the history of the European Union," Merkel said at the signing of the pact.

Under Germany's balanced budget legislation, the federal government and the German states have set upper ceilings for new borrowing. The fundamental goal is to eliminate all borrowing by 2020. The German states will be strictly forbidden from new borrowing starting that year, and the federal government will only be able to borrow up to 0.35 percent annual economic output a year, or about €9 billion.

0 comments:

Post a Comment