A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Jan 12, 2012

Top Death Causes Annual List Released: Homocide Not Included for First Time Since 1967

1967. The Summer of Love. If you're going to San Francisco, be sure to wear a flower in your hair. And so forth.

Yep, that was the last time homocide did NOT appear in US statistics as a leading cause of death. Has a nation addicted to gun ownership really become kinder and gentler? You tell us.

Heart disease and cancer remain the leading killers of Americans, with strokes, diabetes, Alzheimers and accidents among the other significant terminal health problems. Part of it is due to demographics; ageing Boomers just are not as inclined - or, frankly - able to knock each other off (that eyesight thing on top of the weight gain will tend to interfere with one's aim). And the switch from buying crack on the street to chuffing your doctor to fork over unnecessary prescriptions has also reduced the potential for misunderstanding and conflict.

But it is curious that in the midst of the worst economic downturn since the 1930s, that this society has not seen more violence. A correlative or causal relationship between income trends, psychological health and causes of death might shed some useful light on this development. JL

Kevin Johnson reports in USA Today:
For the first time in 45 years, homicide is no longer among the 15 leading causes of death in the United States, according to an analysis by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention The report by the CDC's National Center for Health Statistics, an analysis of deaths in 2010, is the latest confirmation of homicide's steep decline over more than a decade, especially in America's largest cities.

Of the 2.4 million total deaths reported in 2010, there were 16,065 homicides, down from 16,799 a year earlier, according to the report, which gathers data from death certificates provided by the states.

Heart disease and cancer, the most common causes of death, accounted for 47% of all deaths last year.

The report, however, generally tracks the dramatic downward trajectory of homicides reported in recent years to the FBI by law enforcement authorities in New York, Chicago and Los Angeles.

Between 1990 and 2010, the last full year of crime data reported to the FBI, homicides in New York dropped 76%; they were down 70% in Los Angeles and 49% in Chicago during the same time period.

Sherry Murphy, an author of the CDC analysis, said changes to the death list are generally rare.

Homicide had been among the top 15 causes since 1965, rising as high as 13th in 2001. Murphy said it fell to 16 in 2010, replaced by the lung inflammation known as pneumonitis, common among the elderly.

Northeastern University criminologist James Alan Fox said the CDC's findings may have more to do with changing demographics than with changes in the nation's crime culture.

"With the Baby Boom generation aging and more vulnerable to disease, the population generally is at less risk for homicide," Fox said.

Carnegie Mellon University criminologist Alfred Blumstein said homicide's decline is more likely due to a shift from the violent drug trade of the '80s and early '90s to a less volatile illegal prescription drug market.

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