A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Sep 28, 2011

China's Impact on US Jobs Is Changing

The conventional wisdom is that this is a one-way street, with all the traffic headed in the wrong direction. More recent data suggests a different story; that Chinese businesses are investing considerable resources in the US. At a time when American businesses are amassing reserves while 'keeping their powder dry' and the government is constrained by political forces from doing anything that appears to be economic stimulus, these Chinese investments are a bright spot.

This is, of course, controversial. The investment opportunities of which the Chinese are availing themselves come from the decline in American industry and real estate brought about, in part, from Chinese policies and actions. Encouraging the Chinese to buy up American assets while the US sorts out its economic future does not sit well with those who believe that this rewards mercantilist policies which operate to America's disadvantage. This point of view also contends that permitting Chinese investments positions the Chinese to take advantage of the upturn, when it comes, again to the disadvantage of US interests.

The pragmatic view is that investment is needed - and generally welcome (sensitive technologies may be a different matter). This position holds that if the US is not strong enough to manage outside investment after successfully incorporating almost 300 years of English, German, Japanese, French and even Russian financing (among others), it has much bigger problems than a few foreign owned factories. JL

Brian Fung reports in TPM:
Americans in recent years have taken to wringing their hands over leakage of U.S. jobs to China and other developing nations. But on this side of the Pacific, Chinese businesses are quietly making deep investments in the United States that could play a significant if little acknowledged role in the American economic recovery That's the message coming out of the Global China Summit, a day-long event at the United States Institute of Peace (USIP) involving former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger and former UK Foreign Secretary David Miliband, among other statesmen, scholars and officials Tuesday.

Chinese investment in the United States has exploded over the last decade. Where in 2003 you could count the number of trade deals China had with the United States on the fingers of one hand, today that figure numbers in the hundreds. The trade relationship pumps some five to seven billion dollars into the U.S. economy every year, said Daniel Rosen, a USIP panelist and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Thirty-four U.S. states are involved in some kind of business with China -- and the number of bilateral deals being struck is growing annually at a rate of 130 percent.

The data defies conventional wisdom that suggests the trans-Pacific economic relationship is lopsided in favor of rising China, which holds $1.2 trillion worth of U.S. debt.

"Too many people in Washington think this is where the story is today," said Rosen.

Lixin Cheng, an executive at the Chinese telecom giant ZTE Corporation, said his company operates 40 offices in the United States alone, spread across nine different states. Of the nearly 190 employees he's hired in the last year, 83 percent of them have been American, he said.

The Chinese hiring spree doesn't end there. Zhihang Chi, vice president and general manager of Air China's North American division, said his business has flourished since coming to the United States. When the company first arrived, it operated only two flights a day to mainland China. Now, it offers twice-daily flights from several major cities on both coasts. Chi recently hired 30 Americans for a new, $5 million reservation center in Los Angeles.

But Chi, along with several Chinese business leaders, said there were still significant barriers to doing business in the United States. Among them? The lengthy application process for U.S. visas that often deters tourism and business investment.

Former U.S. Trade Representative Charlene Barshefsky blasted the complex visa system, calling it "irrational."

"Somehow, the United States has an aversion to smart people," she said. "You go to school here, you get your master's here, you get your Ph.D here -- and then we say, 'goodbye.'"

Universities should be where the bilateral relationship begins, said Miliband, not where it ends. "The person-to-person contact of this era of globalization is unprecedented. And in a way, the universities' angle brings that about. If business can come in on the back of that, that will build the confidence for the sort of understanding and (business) relationships that are important."

Viewing China's economic ties with the United States as a zero-sum game is a mistake, said Ming Sung, the Clean Air Task Force's chief representative for the Asia-Pacific region.

"In the United States, common wisdom says, 'China is going to steal our technology, steal our jobs, steal our money.' But that conventional wisdom is not true."

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